eprintid: 4882 rev_number: 22 eprint_status: archive userid: 351 dir: disk0/00/00/48/82 datestamp: 2016-01-15 02:07:32 lastmod: 2021-08-27 17:15:37 status_changed: 2016-01-15 02:07:32 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 2 creators_name: Heilig, G.K. creators_id: 1305 title: World Population Prospects: Analyzing the 1996 UN Population Projections ispublished: pub internal_subjects: iis_pop divisions: prog_luc abstract: This working paper analyzes the most recent population assessments and projections (the 1996 edition), conducted by the United Nations Population Division, New York. Its main objective is to cut through the maze of available data and identify ten demographic trends, which are most relevant for studying global (land-use) change. The paper also discusses possibilities for improving the accuracy of population projections by applying probabilistic methods or a scenario approach. Finally, the paper analyzes factors that might affect future trends in world population growth, such as global food constraints or a widespread health crisis due to AIDS. date: 1996-12 date_type: published publisher: WP-96-146 iiasapubid: WP-96-146 iiasa_bibnotes: <www.iiasa.ac.at/Admin/PUB/Documents/WP-96-146.html> price: 10 creators_browse_id: 1318 full_text_status: public monograph_type: working_paper place_of_pub: IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria pages: 54 coversheets_dirty: FALSE fp7_type: info:eu-repo/semantics/book citation: Heilig, G.K. (1996). World Population Prospects: Analyzing the 1996 UN Population Projections. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-96-146 document_url: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/4882/1/WP-96-146.pdf