Methods and Models for Assessing Energy Resources; Proceedings of the First IIASA Conference on Energy Resources, May 20-21,1975

Grenon, M. (1979). Methods and Models for Assessing Energy Resources; Proceedings of the First IIASA Conference on Energy Resources, May 20-21,1975. Oxford: Pergamon Press. ISBN 9781483189154

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Abstract

Any long-term energy policy must be based, not on the energy reserves that we will use in the next one or two decades, but on the energy resources that will feed our energy systems in the next century. Many important decisions have to be made now about those resources. Industry has, for a long time, been interested in estimating energy reserves, which are, to a certain extent, their "energy cashflow". Much less is known about the resources.

Various models and methods have been used to assess long-term resources of coal, oil, gas, and uranium, varying from historical statistics, as promoted by M. King Hubbert, to geological analogy or Monte Carlo simulations. Increasing attention is being paid to these methods, to their limited capacity, to their data requirements, and so forth.

For the first time, a conference convening more than 80 experts from East and West has addressed these methods and their potential applications for assessing world energy resources of coal, petroleum, and uranium. Very active discussions pointed out where progress still has to be made and what the most sound factors are on which to base future methodological developments.

The proceedings of this conference, the first of a series organized by IIASA on energy resources, are a basic contribution to the most important field of world resources.

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