Demographic metabolism: A predictive theory of socioeconomic change

Lutz, W. ORCID: (2013). Demographic metabolism: A predictive theory of socioeconomic change. Population and Development Review 283-301. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x.

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Project: Forecasting Societies Adaptive Capacities to Climate Change (FUTURESOC, FP7 230195)


This essay introduces a general theory of how societies change as a consequence of the changing composition of their members with respect to certain relevant and measurable characteristics. These characteristics can either change over the life course of individuals or from one generation to the next. While the former changes can be analytically identified and described by certain age- and duration-specific transition schedules, the latter changes resulting from cohort replacement can be modeled and projected using standard models of population dynamics.

Item Type: Article
Research Programs: World Population (POP)
Bibliographic Reference: Population and Development Review; 38(S1):283-301 (February 2013) (Published online 19 February 2013)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 08:49
Last Modified: 05 Aug 2023 05:00

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