Systems analysis of robust strategic decisions to plan secure food, energy, and water provision based on the stochastic GLOBIOM model

Ermolieva, T.Y., Ermoliev, Y.M., Havlik, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085, Mosnier, A., Leclère, D., Kraxner, F., Khabarov, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5372-4668, & Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 (2015). Systems analysis of robust strategic decisions to plan secure food, energy, and water provision based on the stochastic GLOBIOM model. Cybernetics and Systems Analysis 51 (1) 125-133. 10.1007/s10559-015-9704-2.

Abstract

The paper focuses on the development of adequate approaches to the systems analysis of geographically explicit robust decisions for long-term consistent management of interdependent land use systems. We introduce a stochastic partial equilibrium Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) enabling to analyze secure food, energy, and water provision accounting for interdependencies between countries and global diversification of systemic risks.

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