A Demoeconometric Model of Poland: DEMP 1

Pawlowski, Z. (1979). A Demoeconometric Model of Poland: DEMP 1. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-79-014

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Abstract

This paper presents a demoeconometric model of Poland, i.e., a model that tries to explain the growth mechanism of the economy not only by analyzing economic or technological factors, but also by making use of a number of demographic variables. The behavior of some important demographic phenomena is, in turn, presented as being a function of economic factors.

A general view of the model is given, as well as the endogenous and the predetermined variables used. The model concentrates on five blocks of phenomena: 1) employment, 2) investments, 3) national income formation, 4) consumption, and 5) demography. In its present form the model may be used to analyze the quantitative relations between the variables chosen, to compute counterfactual simulations, and to make predictions on future behavior.

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