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Häfele, W. (1980). IIASA's World regional energy modelling. Futures 12 (1) 18-34. 10.1016/S0016-3287(80)80004-8.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
After stressing the need for, and difficulties in, long-term supranational energy-supply strategies, the author describes a high and a low scenario. Both are fairly conservative, even in their assumptions on the main variant, economic growth. Quantified for seven world regions via a set of highly iterative models, the scenarios give a conceivable energy-demand range over the next 50 years. By 2030, nuclear power may supply over 20% of the world's energy; coal, in the form of synthetic fuels, will be replacing oil. Resource allocation and trade flows will in general be restricted by production ceilings. A satisfactory world and regional long-range energy supply will depend on prudent political and economic decision making.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Depositing User: | Luke Kirwan |
| Date Deposited: | 16 Feb 2016 07:44 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:40 |
| URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/11934 |
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