Development of the climatic scenarios

Parry, M.L., Carter, T.R., & Konijn, N.T. (1988). Development of the climatic scenarios. In: The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture. pp. 751-772 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-94-009-2943-2 10.1007/978-94-009-2943-2_29.

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This section describes the range of climatic variations observed in Japan in recent history, and the scale of the changes that may accompany future increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide. The description provides a basis for the characterization of three types of climatic scenario that will subsequently be used to estimate the potential impact of climatic variations on rice yield and rice production in Japan:

(1) The weather in extreme individual years selected from historical records of agroclimatic conditions.

(2) The climate during anomalous sequences of years, also determined from historical records.

(3) A simulated climate under doubled concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide based on estimations from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) general circulation model.

Finally in this section, the patterns of climatic change implied in the scenarios for the Japan region are examined in relation to the synoptic climatological features that might explain them.

Item Type: Book Section
Research Programs: Resources and Environment Area (REN)
Depositing User: Romeo Molina
Date Deposited: 03 May 2016 07:55
Last Modified: 27 Aug 2021 17:41

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