A systematic approach to forecasting in environmental impact assessment.

Duinker, P. & Baskerville, G. (1986). A systematic approach to forecasting in environmental impact assessment. Journal of Environmental Management 23 (3) 271-290.

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Abstract

The approach consists of substantive elements that decision-makers and impact analysts need to work through together: 1) the selection of environmental performance indicators; 2) the measures in which impact is to be expressed; 3) the array of alternative interventions for which forecasts should be made; 4) the temporal and spatial bounds and resolution applying to the forecasts; 5) the type of forecasting model used; 6) the sensitivity of performance indicators to specific decision criteria; and 7) the sensitivity of performance indicators to specific uncertainties. The approach was applied in a case study of the effects of the silvicultural use of herbicides on white-tailed deer in a New Brunswick forest.

Item Type: Article
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 09 Aug 2016 12:24
Last Modified: 27 Aug 2021 17:41
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13646

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