World Commodity Model for Fertilizers: The alternative long-term prognosis of the world fertilizer production, consumption and trade on the basis of an econometric model

Meszaros, S. (1980). World Commodity Model for Fertilizers: The alternative long-term prognosis of the world fertilizer production, consumption and trade on the basis of an econometric model. IIASA Collaborative Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: CP-80-001

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Abstract

The Food and Agriculture Research Program at IIASA deals with the world's food problems on two fronts: firstly it analyzes future food problems by building a system of national policy models and secondly, it studies production factors of agriculture aimed at improving technologies and solving the world's food problems. Fertilizers play an important role among the production factors in agriculture, and their growing use in the future will contribute to higher food level supplies both in developed and developing countries.

The fertilizer model presented here was constructed for alternative long-range projection, consumption, and world trade and can be linked to agricultural, industrial and global models. The author helped to develop the Hungarian national policy model on food production at IIASA and is therefore acquainted with the efforts, principles and methodological procedures used to develop both global models. He hopes that the publication of this document on future fertilizers problems by IIASA will contribute to a better understanding of world food problems in the future.

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