A Future Outlook of Narratives for the Built Environment in Japan

Kamei, M, Mastrucci, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5611-7780, & van Ruijven, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-5892 (2021). A Future Outlook of Narratives for the Built Environment in Japan. Sustainability 13 (4) e1653. 10.3390/su13041653.

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Project: Assessment of Cross(X)-sectoral climate Impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation (AXIS, H2020 776608), Sustainable development pathways achieving Human well-being while safeguarding the climate And Planet Earth (SHAPE)


The evolution of long-term sustainable societies is closely connected to the transformation of the physical built environment in which those societies operate. In this paper, we present a comprehensive set of narratives for the built environment in Japan, consistent with the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) framework, to assess the future evolution of the adaptation and mitigation challenges. We focus on the linkage between sustainability factors and human living environments including urban form, buildings, and basic infrastructures. We introduce a new, sixth narrative to the SSPs, an alternative interpretation of SSP1. Whereas the original SSP1 assumes high societal and environmental sustainability combined with relatively high economic growth, the SSP1 variant does not highly rely on economic growth and is oriented towards a lower and more locally oriented consumption lifestyle. Nature-based solutions are integrated and examined in the new SSP1 narrative, which is aligned with the adaptation to the digital era with freedom of location. Recent global crises such as climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic may accelerate the transformation of societies. Therefore, this study attempts to imply the benefits and trade-offs of alternative pathways for the built environment.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sustainable development strategies; long-term scenario analysis; SSPs; cities; nature-based solutions; well-being; beyond growth; regional circular economy; resilience
Research Programs: Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE)
Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Sustainable Service Systems (S3)
Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Transformative Institutional and Social Solutions (TISS)
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 08 Feb 2021 12:38
Last Modified: 26 Jan 2022 11:41
URI: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/17031

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