Modelling and projecting digital trends in European regions: an econometric framework

Crespo Cuaresma, J. & Lutz, S.U. (2021). Modelling and projecting digital trends in European regions: an econometric framework. Regional Studies 55 (10-11) 1696-1710. 10.1080/00343404.2021.1976746.

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Abstract

Our modelling strategy assesses model uncertainty explicitly and aims to identify the main drivers of differences in digital variables at the household and individual levels in 99 European NUTS-2 regions. Several economic and demographic covariates are found to be robust predictors of these variables. Our benchmark projection results indicate that historical convergence trends in variables related to the access to digital technologies (broadband and internet use) are expected to continue, but that in the absence of particular policy impulses, the digital divide existing in Europe for international e-commerce and e-government interactions is not expected to disappear in the coming years.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: internet, digital divide, projections, Bayesian inference, spatial spillovers
Research Programs: Population and Just Societies (POPJUS)
Population and Just Societies (POPJUS) > Migration and Sustainable Development (MIG)
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 29 Mar 2022 14:07
Last Modified: 29 Mar 2022 14:07
URI: http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/17930

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