Protecting Food Supply and Farmer Livelihoods in West Africa: Strategies for Risk Reduction

Leip, D., Rovenskaya, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2761-3443, & Wildemeersch, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6660-2712 (2022). Protecting Food Supply and Farmer Livelihoods in West Africa: Strategies for Risk Reduction. In: Systems Analysis for Reducing Footprints and Enhancing Resilience, 16-17 November, 2022, Vienna, Austria.

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Abstract

Weather extremes and high population growth are challenging the achievement of SDG 2 Zero Hunger in West Africa. It is essential to understand how crop production decisions by farmers affect the reliability of food production and the stability of their livelihoods.
• Future food security scenarios are often based on models that ignore annual weather variability and weather extremes. As a result, this approach also disregards the risk of having lower than expected yields, with adverse consequences for food security and
farmer livelihoods.
• We propose a stochastic modelling framework that allows to study the reliability of food production under crop yield uncertainty, and explore different strategies to increase this reliability at a minimum cost.

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