Towards a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management

Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Šakić Trogrlic, Robert, Reiter, K., Ward, P.J., de Ruiter, M.C., Duncan, M.J., Torresan, S., Ciurean, R., Mysiak, J., Stuparu, D., & Gottardo, S. (2023). Towards a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management. iScience 26 (5) e106736. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736.

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Abstract

In our increasingly interconnected world, natural hazards and their impacts spread across geographical, administrative, and sectoral boundaries. Due to the interrelationships between multi-hazards and socio-economic dimensions, the impacts of these types of events can surmount those of multiple single hazards. The complexities involved in tackling multi-hazards and multi-risks hinder a more holistic and integrative perspective and make it difficult to identify overarching dimensions important for assessment and management purposes. We contribute to this discussion by building on systemic risk research, especially the focus on interconnectedness, and suggest ways forward for an integrated multi-hazard and multi-risk framework that should be beneficial in real-world applications. In this paper, we propose a six-step framework for analyzing and managing risk across a spectrum ranging from single- to multi- and systemic risk.

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