Climate, conflict and internal migration in Colombia

Fenz, K., Mitterling, T., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Roitner-Fransecky, I. (2024). Climate, conflict and internal migration in Colombia. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 1-22 Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography. ISBN 978-3-7001-9476-7 10.1553/p-8kaj-g8kb.

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Robust empirical evidence on the potential causal linkages between environmental change, conflict and migration is scarce. We evaluate this relationship in the context of internal migration in Colombia for the period from 2000 to 2005. Using municipalitylevel data in a gravity model that considers the issue of endogenous selection regarding both the outbreak of conflicts and the existence of non-zero migration flows, we establish an empirical causal link between droughts, conflict and migration. Our results show a positive relationship between the severity of droughts and the likelihood of conflicts, as well as between conflicts and human mobility, suggesting an indirect effect of climate on internal migration in Colombia.

Item Type: Book Section
Uncontrolled Keywords: Migration, Environmental change, Conflict, SPEI, Endogenous selection, Gravity model
Research Programs: Population and Just Societies (POPJUS)
Population and Just Societies (POPJUS) > Migration and Sustainable Development (MIG)
Depositing User: Michaela Rossini
Date Deposited: 05 Apr 2024 06:39
Last Modified: 05 Apr 2024 06:39

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