Growth to Limits: Long Waves and the Dynamics of Technology

Nakicenovic, N. ORCID: (1984). Growth to Limits: Long Waves and the Dynamics of Technology. IIASA/Universität Wien , Vienna.

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Economic development and technological change are analyzed as a process of substituting old forms of satisfying human needs by new ones. Logistic substitution analysis is used to show the dynamics and regularity of technological changes. These swings in economic development and many other indicators ranging from energy intensity to price fluctuations and innovation pulses. A phenomenological approach is adopted to evalute the evidence for invariance and logical order in the sequence of technological changes and long wave fluctuations. The analysis is based on the longest historical time series for the United Kingdom, the United States and the world that can be reconstructed from the sparse records.

Item Type: Other
Research Programs: Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE)
Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Integrated Assessment and Climate Change (IACC)
Energy, Climate, and Environment (ECE) > Transformative Institutional and Social Solutions (TISS)
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 06 Jun 2024 14:16
Last Modified: 06 Jun 2024 14:16

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