Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades

Eker, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2264-132X, Lenton, T.M., Powell, T., Scheffran, J., Smith, S.R., Swamy, D., & Zimm, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5603-1015 (2024). Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades. Earth System Dynamics 15 (3) 789-800. 10.5194/esd-15-789-2024.

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Abstract

Positive tipping points are promising leverage points in social systems for accelerated progress towards climate and sustainability targets. Besides their impact in specific social systems such as energy, food, or social norms and values, positive tipping dynamics may in some cases spread across different systems, amplifying the impact of tipping interventions. However, the cross-system interactions that can create such tipping cascades are sparsely examined. Here, we review interactions across sociotechnical, socioecological, socioeconomic, and sociopolitical systems that can lead to tipping cascades based on the emerging and relevant past evidence. We show that there are several feedback mechanisms where a strategic input can trigger secondary impacts for a disproportionately large positive response, and various agents that can trigger such cascades. This review of cross-system interactions facilitates the quantification and analysis of positive tipping cascades in future studies.

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