A new dynamic framework is required to assess adaptation limits

Juhola, S., Bouwer, L.M., Huggel, C., Mechler, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2239-1578, Muccione, V., & Wallimann-Helmer, I. (2024). A new dynamic framework is required to assess adaptation limits. Global Environmental Change 87 e102884. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102884.

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Anthropogenic climate change is already causing dangerous and widespread disruptions in global ecological and social systems and affects the lives of billions of people around the world. Even with scaled-up risk management and adaptation, the limits of adaptation will often be reached. Currently, very little is known about the degree to which societies can adapt to climate change, and where and when limits to adaptation will be reached. In this paper, we conceptualize adaptation limits through a novel methodological framework, assess adaptation limits along adaptation pathways, and propose a research strategy for empirical and model-based limits assessments based on biophysical and socio-economic data. Assessing limits is central to national and international adaptation policymaking. More efficient adaptation can also help climate mitigation efforts.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Adaptation limits; Climate risk management; Justice; Ethics; Modelling
Research Programs: Advancing Systems Analysis (ASA)
Advancing Systems Analysis (ASA) > Systemic Risk and Resilience (SYRR)
Depositing User: Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited: 08 Jul 2024 07:27
Last Modified: 08 Jul 2024 07:27
URI: https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/19858

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