Mathematical Modeling of Interconnections Between Ecological, Food, and Economic Dimensions of Security

Atoyev, K., Ermolieva, T., & Knopov, P. (2024). Mathematical Modeling of Interconnections Between Ecological, Food, and Economic Dimensions of Security. In: Nexus of Sustainability. Eds. Zagorodny, A., Bogdanov, V., & Zaporozhets, A., pp. 33-60 Springer. ISBN 978-3-031-66764-0 10.1007/978-3-031-66764-0_1.

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Abstract

A study was conducted on the mechanisms of instability in complex systems. Using a four-sector Lorenz model, research was conducted on the interconnections between food, energy, and water resources, and supply systems. The model unifies sectors of the economy, each described in a consistent manner in terms of productivity levels, employment, and structural disruptions. Investigations were carried out on the impact of energy decarbonization on interconnected sectors of the economy. A mathematical model was developed to determine the conditions under which the growth rate of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere is minimized while maintaining a specified standard of living for the population. A risk assessment method for food security and its management was created, based on data related to consumption adequacy; differentiation of food costs among social groups; daily energy value of human diets; food availability; supply chain disruptions; reduction in cultivated areas.

Item Type:	Book Section
Research Programs:	Biodiversity and Natural Resources (BNR) Biodiversity and Natural Resources (BNR) > Integrated Biosphere Futures (IBF)
Depositing User:	Luke Kirwan
Date Deposited:	28 Aug 2024 10:49
Last Modified:	28 Aug 2024 10:49
URI:	https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/19962

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