Support to the development of the fourth clean air outlook – Final report

European Commission & Directorate-General for Environment (2025). Support to the development of the fourth clean air outlook – Final report. Publications Office of the European Union , Luxembourg. doi/10.2779/8768689.

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Abstract

The overall objective for this service request was to provide the underlying analysis to support the preparation of the Commission’s fourth Clean Air Outlook report. Alongside this, the outputs will also help to inform the Commission’s review of the NEC Directive due in 2025. In line with the service request, the analysis undertaken as part of this contract should help to address a series of research questions: - To what extent will the national emission reduction commitments (ERC) set in the NEC Directive be achieved for the periods 2020-29 and 2030 onwards with the implementation of the existing and proposed EU and national legislation? - To what extent will the 2030 target of the Zero Pollution Action Plan to “reduce by more than 55% compared to 2005 the health impacts (premature deaths) of air pollution” be achieved with the implementation of the existing and proposed EU and national legislation? - To what extent will the 2030 target of the Zero Pollution Action Plan to “reduce by 25% compared to 2005 the EU ecosystems where air pollution threatens biodiversity” be achieved with the implementation of the existing and proposed EU and national legislation? - What are the most effective and efficient measures per Member State to reduce ammonia emissions so as to achieve their ammonia emission reduction commitments for the periods 2020-29 and 2030 onwards and the Zero Pollution Action Plan ecosystem related target? - How has the implementation of the NEC Directive influenced air pollutant emissions in recent and current years as opposed to source legislation at EU or national level? As with previous iterations of the Clean Air Outlook, the engagement with, and involvement of, Member State experts has been critical for ensuring the analysis is robust and reflective of the situation across the EU.

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