The importance of distinguishing between natural and managed tree cover gains in the moist tropics

Gao, X., Reich, P.B., Vincent, J.R., Fagan, M.E., Chazdon, R.L., Fritz, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0420-8549, Shchepashchenko, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7814-4990, Potts, M.D., Hansen, M.C., Jung, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7569-1390, Brancalion, P.H.S., Uriarte, M., Keenan, T.F., Crowther, T.W., Dubayah, R.O., Lesiv, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9846-3342, Liang, S., & Wang, D. (2025). The importance of distinguishing between natural and managed tree cover gains in the moist tropics. Nature Communications 16 (1) 10.1038/s41467-025-59196-1.

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Abstract

Naturally regenerated forests and managed tree systems provide different levels of carbon, biodiversity, and livelihood benefits. Here, we show that tree cover gains in the moist tropics during 1982–2015 were 56% ± 3% naturally regenerated forests and 27% ± 2.6% managed tree systems, with these differences in forest type, not only natural conditions (climate, soil, and topography), driving observed carbon recovery rates. The remaining 17% ± 3% likely represents small, unmanaged tree patches within non-forest cover types. Achieving global forest restoration goals requires robust monitoring, reporting, and verification of forest types established by restoration initiatives.

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