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Zhou, A. & Wang, S. (2026). A city-sector dynamic network analysis of agricultural virtual water transfer resilience in China. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 230 e108878. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.108878.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
China’s water security is fundamentally challenged by a severe spatial mismatch between its agricultural production and water resources, most acutely in the arid northern regions that underpin the national food supply. Although virtual water transfer through interregional trade serves as a key mechanism to alleviate this disparity, the resilience of the networks enabling these transfers remains poorly understood—especially under growing uncertainties such as climate change and geopolitical tensions. To address this gap, this study develops a novel, fine-grained dataset spanning 302 cities and 42 sectors, enabling a pioneering city-sector network analysis. This study simulates network responses to random and malicious attacks, evaluating resilience through robustness, recovery rate, and performance loss. The results showed that malicious attacks are far more disruptive than random failures, yet priority recovery can mitigate up to 45% of the performance loss. Policy effectiveness varied significantly, with Water-Saving Cities exhibiting the most substantial resistance, while Sponge Cities showed limited benefits in terms of virtual water resilience. This study presents a groundbreaking dynamic resilience assessment framework with unprecedented granularity, supporting sustainable agricultural water management in the face of escalating environmental and economic uncertainties.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Research Programs: | Advancing Systems Analysis (ASA) Advancing Systems Analysis (ASA) > Systemic Risk and Resilience (SYRR) |
| Depositing User: | Luke Kirwan |
| Date Deposited: | 05 May 2026 07:05 |
| Last Modified: | 05 May 2026 07:05 |
| URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/21542 |
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