The Global Forest Sector: An Analytical Perspective

Binkley, C.S., Dykstra, D.P., & Kallio, M.J. (1987). The Global Forest Sector: An Analytical Perspective. John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 978-0444875877

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Abstract

This book is the final report of the Forest Sector Project at The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). The primary goal of the Project was to study long-term developments in the production, consumption, and world trade of forests products. The aim was to aid in the formulations of investment strategy in forest industrial companies and of forestry and forest industrial policies in different world regions by governmental agencies and international authorities.

For this purpose, a global model of the forest sector was built and, employing this model, a number of scenarios were developed. Based on conservative assumptions, the base scenario served as a reference for making judgements about the relative impacts of alternative assumptions. The scenario variations were chosen to study the impact of alternative rates of economic growth, changes in currency exchange rates, impact of trade liberalization, impact of environmental changes, etc. The scenarios should not be regarded as unbiased forecasts, but rather as conditional forecasts aiming to answer what-if questions. For the practitioner to fully use the Project results, it is necessary to develop additional scenarios that are particularly relevant to the policy issues concerned.

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