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Toth, F.L., Hizsnyik, E., & Clark, W.C. (1989). Scenarios of Socioeconomic Development for Studies of Global Environmental Change: A Critical Review. IIASA Research Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-89-004
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Abstract
This study (1) critically reviews existing studies of global trends in population, agriculture, and energy with a view toward showing which studies are most useful for which sorts of studies of global environmental change and sustainable development. (2) Synthesizes a single, internally consistent scenario of global changes in population, agriculture, and energy over the next century for use as a "conventional wisdom" reference case for such studies. (3) Creates a number of "surprise-rich" scenarios of world development for use in exploring unconventional, but not impossible, patterns of human activities that might be useful for exploring the outer limits of global environmental change.
| Item Type: | Monograph (IIASA Research Report) |
|---|---|
| Research Programs: | Biosphere Dynamics (BIO) Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) |
| Depositing User: | IIASA Import |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2016 01:59 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:13 |
| URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/3224 |
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