Policy-Relevant Short-Term Consequences of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Disturbance

van de Vate, J. (1990). Policy-Relevant Short-Term Consequences of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Disturbance. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-90-011

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Abstract

This study was triggered by recent publications in various periodicals, all indicating that an issue is newly coming up in the field of greenhouse science, viz. increased frequency in the near future of extreme climate events. Such threatening consequences of the greenhouse gas levels, still rising due to the passivity of the international community to take measures for lowering the emission of these gases, probably could more easily yield a consensus, at least in the industrialized world, that such measures have to be taken. The alternative will lead to a climate change where "any impact of a greenhouse warming on extreme climatic events will for many decades be far larger than the greenhouse effect itself" (Fred Pearce, New Scientist, 6 January, 1990, p. 31).

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