The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today?

Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145 (1996). The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? London: Earthscan. ISBN 1853833495

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Abstract

This revised and updated version incorporates completely new scenario projections based on updated starting values and revised assumptions, plus several methodological improvements. It also contains the best currently available information on global trends in AIDS mortality and the first ever fully probabilistic world population projections. The projections, given up to 2100, add important additional features to those of the UN and the World Bank: they show the impacts of alternative assumptions for all three components (mortality and migration, as well as fertility); they explicitly take into account possible environmental limits to growth; and, for the first time, they define confidence levels for global populations.

Combining methodological innovation with overviews of the most recent data and literature, this updated edition of "The Future Population of the World" is sure to confirm its reputation as the most comprehensive and essential publication in the field.

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