The International Energy Workshop: Results of the 1997 Poll

Schrattenholzer, L. (1998). The International Energy Workshop: Results of the 1997 Poll. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-98-008. Reprinted from OPEC Review, pp. 147-158 [June 1998].

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Abstract

The International Energy Workshop (IEW) consists of a network of analysts from around the world concerned with international energy issues. Since 1981, the IEW has organized an annual poll of crude-oil prices, economic growth, primary energy consumption and production, the energy trade and, since the early 1990s, energy-related carbon emissions. Submitted projections are for 1990-2020 at ten-year intervals; recently, 2050 and 2100 have been added to cater for climate-change scenarios. The IEW poll encourages the submission of responses for five world regions.

This paper presents a summary of findings from the 1997 poll, and compares different projections for decarbonisation, that is, the decline rates of carbon intensity of GDP and of primary energy supply. It notes that, according to business-as-usual projections, the OECD is way off target in meeting the emissions-reductions goal of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

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