Europe's Population at a Turning Point

Lutz, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7975-8145, O'Neill, B.C., & Scherbov, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0881-1073 (2003). Europe's Population at a Turning Point. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-03-006. Reprinted from Science; 299(5615):1991-1992 (28 March 2003) 10.1126/science.1080316.

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Abstract

Low birthrates in Europe have begun to generate negative population momentum, a new force for population shrinkage over the coming decades. Birthrates are low partly because of the current trend in Europe toward bearing children at later and later ages. A continuation of this trend could substantially exacerbate future aging of the population and contribute to a future decline in population size. Social policies and labor laws aimed at halting further increases in the mean age of childbearing are proposed in this Policy Forum.

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