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Helmer, O. (1977). The Utility of Long-Term Forecasting. IIASA Professional Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: PP-77-005
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Abstract
Forecasts are an essential ingredient of the planning process. Although frequently of necessity inaccurate, they can nevertheless be of considerable utility; for they should not be judged by the degree of uncertainty they convey but by the degree to which they permit differentiation between genuine and avoidable uncertainty.
| Item Type: | Monograph (IIASA Professional Paper) |
|---|---|
| Research Programs: | General Research (GEN) |
| Depositing User: | IIASA Import |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2016 01:44 |
| Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:08 |
| URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/750 |
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