The Utility of Long-Term Forecasting

Helmer, O. (1977). The Utility of Long-Term Forecasting. IIASA Professional Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: PP-77-005

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Forecasts are an essential ingredient of the planning process. Although frequently of necessity inaccurate, they can nevertheless be of considerable utility; for they should not be judged by the degree of uncertainty they convey but by the degree to which they permit differentiation between genuine and avoidable uncertainty.

Item Type: Monograph (IIASA Professional Paper)
Research Programs: General Research (GEN)
Depositing User: IIASA Import
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2016 01:44
Last Modified: 27 Aug 2021 17:08

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