Control of the Reservoirs System During Flood: Concept of Learning in Multi-Stage Decision Process

Dysarz, T. (2005). Control of the Reservoirs System During Flood: Concept of Learning in Multi-Stage Decision Process. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-05-031

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Abstract

Although floods are not the strongest or the most sudden physical phenomena in the world, they appear to be one of the most disastrous events. During the last few decades we observed an unusual frequency of flood events. Examples of enormous flood damages in Poland in 1997, in Germany, the Czech Republic and Slovakia in 2002, and also in China, the United States, Southern Africa and many other countries are well known. It could be said that floods have become of the main development barriers for countries which are unable to cope with this problem.

In the presence of extreme floods proper water management strategies have become dramatically important. Flood protection in the catchment scale requires application of efficient decision support system. However, the uncertainty linked to the unknown inflows scenarios makes this problem extremely difficult. In the report the possible structure of a decision support tool is presented. The elements of the system are discussed and some examples from the Nysa Klodzka reservoir system are given.

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