Ledolter, J. (1977). A Multivariate Time Series Approach to Modelling Macroeconomic Sequences. IIASA Research Memorandum. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RM-77-033
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Abstract
In this paper we discuss a multivariate generalization of autoregressive integrated moving average models. A methodology for constructing multivariate time series models is developed and the derivation of forecasts from such models is considered. A bivariate model for Austrian macroeconomic sequences is constructed. Furthermore it is discussed whether multivariate time series methods can be expected to lead to a significant increase in prediction accuracy for macroeconomic series.
Item Type: | Monograph (IIASA Research Memorandum) |
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Research Programs: | System and Decision Sciences - Core (SDS) |
Depositing User: | IIASA Import |
Date Deposited: | 15 Jan 2016 01:44 |
Last Modified: | 27 Aug 2021 17:08 |
URI: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/782 |
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