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    <title>Why Prognostic Systems Analysis Has To Change - Learning from the Past Tells How</title>
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    <abstract>Prognostic systems analysis is widely applied to generate &quot;sharp&quot; projections into the future. However, prognostic scenarios and &quot;sharp&quot; futures are a physical impossibility! 

The key questions arising are (1) whether it is possible to determine the Heisenberg-like relation of a model; and (2) whether it is even possible to determine the model&apos;s characteristic unsharpness regime by learning from the past?</abstract>
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