Influence of Structural Change in GHG Emissions on Total Uncertainty

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13649 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13649 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/13649 archive 351 disk0/00/01/02/57 2016-01-15 08:48:14 2021-08-27 17:23:00 2016-01-15 08:48:14 monograph show 2 Lesiv M. 8477 0000-0001-9846-3342 Influence of Structural Change in GHG Emissions on Total Uncertainty pub iis_mod prog_esm It is important to understand the change in uncertainty in reporting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to improve the communication of uncertainty and to facilitate the setting of emission targets. Uncertainty in GHG emissions varies over time due to the effects of learning, as well as structural change. This report provides examples of change in uncertainty due to structural change in GHG emissions considering EUs "20-20-20" targets. We estimate uncertainty for the year 2020 for various scenarios of energy pathways assuming today's knowledge. We apply an emissions-change-uncertainty analysis technique (called Und&VT) developed in IIASA to calculate modified emission targets for the EU. 2012-08 published IR-12-018 IR-12-018 181 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 21 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book