US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures

10350 7 33653 2 72344 document 33653 Economics_2013-34.pdf application/pdf a34ea854a7dd721d3e3234e1558f39df MD5 5192575 2016-02-23 09:50:58 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10350/1/Economics_2013-34.pdf 10350 1 1 application/pdf text en public

Economics_2013-34.pdf

published 33654 2 72347 document 33654 lightbox.jpg image/png a62f95dde3a244bdceef1d62f96f6071 MD5 49947 2016-02-23 09:51:21 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10350/2/lightbox.jpg 10350 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33653 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33653 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33653 archive 351 disk0/00/01/03/50 2016-01-15 08:48:36 2021-08-27 17:23:10 2016-01-15 08:48:36 article show 1 Takle E.S. Gustafson D. Beachy R. Nelson G.C. Mason-D'Croz D. Palazzo A. 1994 0000-0001-8167-9403 US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures pub iis_cli iis_fag prog_esm Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2050. These climate- and constraint-driven crop production challenges are interconnected within a complex global economy, where diverse factors add to price volatility and food scarcity. Our scenarios of the impact of climate change on food security through 2050 for internationally traded crops show that climate change does not threaten near-term US food security due to the availability of adaptation strategies. However, as climate continues to change beyond 2050 current adaptation measures will not be sufficient to meet growing food demand. Climate scenarios for higher-level carbon emissions exacerbate the food shortfall, although uncertainty in projections of future precipitation is a limitation to impact studies. 2013-08 published Institut für Weltwirtschaft, Kiel (IfW) 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-34 XJ-13-197 Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal; 7:2013-34 (13 August 2013) [doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-34] 223 public Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 2013-34 TRUE 1864-6042 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article