Case study for the assessment of the biogeophysical effects of a potential afforestation in Europe

10377 9 33143 2 70961 document 33143 art%3A10.1186%2F1750-0680-8-3.pdf application/pdf 4227647d8957561a539e63cc5e4b7598 MD5 1641718 2016-02-19 13:34:19 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10377/1/art%253A10.1186%252F1750-0680-8-3.pdf 10377 1 1 application/pdf text en public

art%3A10.1186%2F1750-0680-8-3.pdf

published 33171 2 71016 document 33171 lightbox.jpg image/png 64b36b8720f11cc041eb4094e29c285c MD5 55281 2016-02-19 13:44:28 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10377/2/lightbox.jpg 10377 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

preview.jpg

medium.jpg

small.jpg

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33143 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33143 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33143 archive 351 disk0/00/01/03/77 2016-01-15 08:48:41 2021-08-27 17:23:13 2016-01-15 08:48:41 article show 1 Galos B. Hagemann S. Haensler A. Kindermann G. 8178 0000-0003-4297-1318 Rechid D. Sieck K. Teichmann C. Jacob D. Case study for the assessment of the biogeophysical effects of a potential afforestation in Europe pub iis_env prog_esm Afforestation; Biogeophysical feedbacks; Climatic extremes; Land cover change; Regional climate modelling BACKGROUND: A regional-scale sensitivity study has been carried out to investigate the climatic effects of forest cover change in Europe. Applying REMO (regional climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology), the projected temperature and precipitation tendencies have been analysed for summer, based on the results of the A2 IPCC-SRES emission scenario simulation. For the end of the 21st century it has been studied, whether the assumed forest cover increase could reduce the effects of the greenhouse gas concentration change. RESULTS: Based on the simulation results, biogeophysical effects of the hypothetic potential afforestation may lead to cooler and moister conditions during summer in most parts of the temperate zone. The largest relative effects of forest cover increase can be expected in northern Germany, Poland and Ukraine, which is 15-20% of the climate change signal for temperature and more than 50% for precipitation. In northern Germany and France, potential afforestation may enhance the effects of emission change, resulting in more severe heavy precipitation events. The probability of dry days and warm temperature extremes would decrease. CONCLUSIONS: Large contiguous forest blocks can have distinctive biogeophysical effect on the climate on regional and local scale. In certain regions of the temperate zone, climate change signal due to greenhouse gas emission can be reduced by afforestation due to the dominant evaporative cooling effect during summer. Results of this case study with a hypothetical land cover change can contribute to the assessment of the role of forests in adapting to climate change. Thus they can build an important basis of the future forest policy. 2013-02 published Springer 10.1186/1750-0680-8-3 XJ-13-170 Carbon Balance and Management; 8(1):3 (1 February 2013) [doi:10.1186/1750-0680-8-3] 157 public Carbon Balance and Management 8 1 3 TRUE 1750-0680 Climate Change - Terrestrial Adaption and Mitigation in Europe (CCTAME, FP7 212535) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/212535/EU/Climate Change - Terrestrial Adaption and Mitigation in Europe/CCTAME info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess