Water constraints on European power supply under climate change: Impacts on electricity prices

10421 10 35118 2 78265 document 35118 Water constraints on European power supply.pdf application/pdf 4fad729a5279a88590137ce6cdeb5c40 MD5 2043948 2016-02-29 09:12:20 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10421/1/Water%20constraints%20on%20European%20power%20supply.pdf 10421 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

Water constraints on European power supply.pdf

published 35119 2 78268 document 35119 lightbox.jpg image/png a60a77fff419b5fc2d919413c89674c2 MD5 13594 2016-02-29 09:12:36 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10421/2/lightbox.jpg 10421 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/35118 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/35118 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/35118 archive 351 disk0/00/01/04/21 2016-01-15 08:48:49 2021-08-27 17:23:16 2016-01-15 08:48:49 article show van Vliet M.T.H. 8728 Voegele S. Ruebbelke D. Water constraints on European power supply under climate change: Impacts on electricity prices pub iis_wat prog_wat Recent warm, dry summers showed the vulnerability of the European power sector to low water availability and high river temperatures. Climate change is likely to impact electricity supply, in terms of both water availabilty for hydropower generation and cooling water usage for thermoelectric power production. Here, we show the impacts of climate change and changes in water availability and water temperature on European electricity production and prices. Using simulations of daily river flows and water temperatures under future climate (2031-2060) in power production models, we show declines in both thermoelectric and hydropower generating potential for most parts of Europe, except for the most northern countries. Based on changes in power production potentials, we assess the cost-optimal use of power plants for each European country by taking electricity import and export constraints into account. Higher wholesale prices are projected on a mean annual basis for most European countries (except for Sweden and Norway), with strongest increases for Slovenia (12-15%), Bulgaria (21-23%) and Romania (31-32% for 2031-2060), where limitations in water availability mainly affect power plants with low production costs. Considering the long design life of power plant infrastructures, short-term adaptation strategies are highly recommended to prevent undesired distributional and allocative effects. 2013-09 published Institute of Physics Publishing (IOP) 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035010 XJ-13-126 [doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035010] 350 public Environmental Research Letters 8 3 no.035010 35010 TRUE 1748-9326 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article