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    <title>Photochemical roles of rapid economic growth and potential abatement strategies on tropospheric ozone over South and East Asia in 2030</title>
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    <abstract>A regional air quality simulation framework including the Weather Research and Forecasting modeling system (WRF), the  Community Multi-scale Air Quality modeling system (CMAQ), and precursor emissions to simulate tropospheric ozone over South and  East Asia is introduced. Concentrations of tropospheric ozone and related species simulated by the framework are validated by  comparing with observation data of surface monitoring, ozonesondes, and satellites obtained in 2010. The simulation demonstrates  acceptable performance on tropospheric ozone over South and East Asia at regional scale. Future energy consumption, carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions in 2030 under three future scenarios are estimated. One  of the scenarios assumes a business-as-usual (BAU) pathway, and other two scenarios consider implemenation of additional energy  and environmental strategies to reduce energy consumption, CO2, NOx, and VOC emissions in China and India. Future surface ozone  under these three scenarios is predicted by the simulation. The simulation indicates future surface ozone significantly increases around  India for a whole year and around northeastern China in summer. NOx is a main driver on significant seasonal increase of surface  ozone, whereas VOC as well as increasing background ozone and methane is also an important factor on annual average of surface  ozone in East Asia. Warmer weather around India is also preferable for significant increase of surfac ozone. Additional energy and  environmental strategies assumed in future scenarios are expected to be effective to reduce future surface ozone over South and East Asia.</abstract>
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    <iiasa_bibref>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics; 14(17):9279-9293 (September 2014)</iiasa_bibref>
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