Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models

10900 10 67974 2 187936 document 67974 Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models.pdf application/pdf 786eac9fff43e9ae5ab9caccbe24c8d9 MD5 1426264 2016-07-25 09:26:50 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10900/1/Agroclimatic%20conditions%20in%20China%20under%20climate%20change%20scenarios%20projected%20from%20regional%20climate%20models.pdf 10900 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models.pdf

published 67986 2 187952 document 67986 lightbox.jpg image/png 843e610c7d5d1a07be2877bba55ddf44 MD5 55007 2016-07-25 09:37:00 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10900/2/lightbox.jpg 10900 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/67974 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/67974 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/67974 archive 351 disk0/00/01/09/00 2016-01-15 08:50:38 2021-08-27 17:24:10 2016-01-15 08:50:38 article show Tian Z. 8213 Yang X. Sun L. 1681 Fischer G. 276 Liang Z. Pan J. Agroclimatic conditions in China under climate change scenarios projected from regional climate models pub iis_cli iis_lca iis_mod prog_wat Agroclimatic conditions; Regional climate model; AEZ model; Climate change The recent warming trends have led to rising concerns on how the changing climate has been altering and will continue to alter agroclimatic conditions in China. In this study, high resolution climate scenarios from regional climate models (RCMs) are used as input to the agro-ecological zones (AEZ) model for China and to compute a comprehensive set of agroclimatic indicators. Uncertainties in the projected impacts of climate change on agroclimatic conditions are also discussed with respect to (1) RCM outputs for different emission scenarios, and (2) differences in projections obtained from two different RCMs under the same emission scenario. The results indicate a significant extension of the crop growing period in tandem with the rising temperatures during the crop growing season, which may lead to increase in multi-cropping opportunities at high latitudes and thus advance the total potential output per unit of cropland. However, the results show that the Southwest China will experience a significant reduction in the value of humidity index, implying severe challenges for future agricultural development in the region. Spatially explicit patterns of changes in future agroclimatic conditions, as revealed in this study, can be beneficial for policy-makers, farming communities and other stakeholders to assess risk factors, design adaptation and mitigation measures, and improve management practices at the local to regional scales. 2014-07 published Wiley-Blackwell 10.1002/joc.3892 XJ-14-150 International Journal of Climatology; 34(9):2988-3000 (July 2014) (Published online 28 December 2013) [doi:10.1002/joc.3892] 1615 302 89 public International Journal of Climatology 34 9 2988-3000 TRUE 1097-0088 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article