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Economics_2014-1.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33640 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33640 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/33640 archive 351 disk0/00/01/10/16 2016-01-15 08:51:04 2021-08-27 17:24:20 2016-01-15 08:51:04 article show 1 Ye L. Tang H. Wu W. Yang P. Nelson G.C. Mason-D'Croz D. Palazzo A. 1994 0000-0001-8167-9403 pub iis_cli iis_fag iis_mod prog_esm Climate change; Food security; Scenario; Adaptation; Mitigation; Policy Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate change scenarios and socio-economic pathways in 2050. The obtained results show a relatively optimistic outlook on yield, production and trade toward 2050. The outcomes of calorie availability suggest that China will be able to maintain a level of at least 3,000 kilocalories per day through 2010 to 2050. Overall, Chinese agriculture is relatively resilient to climate change. It is unlikely that Chinese food security by 2050 will be compromised in the context of climate change. The major challenge to food security, however, will rise from increasing demand coupled with regional disparities in adaptive capacity to climate change. 2014-01 published Institut für Weltwirtschaft, Kiel (IfW) 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-1 XJ-14-034 Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal; 8:2014-1 (8 January 2014) [doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-1] 223 public Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 2014-1 TRUE 1864-6042 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/article