78900document355161-s2.0-S2214241X15002813-main.pdfapplication/pdf219ae5119d4cce83d26bb529e55cb7a1MD52495502016-02-29 11:56:37https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11349/1/1-s2.0-S2214241X15002813-main.pdf