12544 21 48991 3 131351 document 48991 IR_05-063.pdf application/pdf 7258eba41f7a66941535e9d3719b22d8 MD5 394319 2016-04-07 14:39:16 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/1/IR_05-063.pdf 12544 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

IR_05-063.pdf

published 15 48994 1 131377 document 48994 indexcodes.txt text/x-pascal ea9461950228f5e6df15ebf01337437a MD5 15084 2016-04-07 14:49:15 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/3/indexcodes.txt 12544 3 3 text/x-pascal other Generate index codes conversion from text to indexcodes en public

indexcodes.txt

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 48995 2 131379 document 48995 lightbox.jpg image/png 39bbcf1353d7d8d503ebee461cdddf0d MD5 15401 2016-04-07 14:49:31 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/4/lightbox.jpg 12544 4 4 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

lightbox.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/islightboxThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 48996 2 131380 document 48996 preview.jpg image/png 2350d04fd46487c0952175e3e12b5148 MD5 6931 2016-04-07 14:49:31 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/5/preview.jpg 12544 5 5 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_preview en public

preview.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/ispreviewThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 48997 2 131381 document 48997 medium.jpg image/png d50fa158b6951ca880e3f1b7991806ea MD5 2641 2016-04-07 14:49:32 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/6/medium.jpg 12544 6 6 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_medium en public

medium.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/ismediumThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 48998 2 131382 document 48998 small.jpg image/png 60f560525cfc299bc38374984e38a013 MD5 1015 2016-04-07 14:49:33 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/7/small.jpg 12544 7 7 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_small en public

small.jpg

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/issmallThumbnailVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 71898 2 199107 document 71898 IR_05-063.pdf application/pdf 386e16aa2ca18c79f13328c709e98b18 MD5 622329 2016-10-23 07:37:26 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12544/8/IR_05-063.pdf 12544 8 8 application/pdf other Coversheet Pages conversion from text to application/pdf en public

IR_05-063.pdf

http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/48991 archive 2 disk0/00/01/25/44 2016-04-07 14:42:40 2025-03-12 05:00:09 2016-04-07 14:42:40 monograph show 1 Riahi K. 1696 0000-0001-7193-3498 Kolp P. 1793 0000-0003-0122-2839 Grubler A. 1115 0000-0002-7814-4990 Nebojsa Nakićenović, Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) Program prog_ene prog_tnt This report presents national scenarios of economic activity (GDP) for the time period 1990 to 2100 based on three scenarios (A2, B1, and B2) from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES; Nakicenovic et al, 2000). Two scenarios (B1 and B2) follow (with minor adjustments due to scenario improvements) the original SRES quantifications at the level of 4 and 11 world regions respectively. The quantification of the original SRES A2 scenario has been revised in order to reflect recent changing perceptions on the demographic outlook of world population growth. In this revised “high population growth” scenario A2 world population reaches some 12 billion by 2100 (as opposed to some 15 billion in the original SRES A2 scenario) and is characterized by a “delayed fertility transition” that is also mirrored in a delayed (economic) development catch-up. Our downscaling approach emphasizes the scenario dependency of the national development path. I.e., national income convergence within a region varies across the scenarios and is guided by the scenario’s specific assumptions for convergence on the macro-regional level. The approach explicitly distinguishes also between countries at different stages of economic development as opposed to earlier downscaling approaches which have employed the (by now widely recognized) problematic method of regionally uniform growth rates as downscaling algorithm. While the results are similar at the regional level to SRES, there are significant differences compared to earlier results from downscaling at the national level. 2005-12 IR-05-063 250 160 112 public interim_report IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book