The Relationship between Technological Development Paths and the Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in Global Emissions Scenarios

12618 12 49558 2 132772 document 49558 The Relationship between Technological Development Paths and the Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in Global Emissions Scenarios.pdf application/pdf 86d2df1fa80661b694cf610fdc0bd5be MD5 160403 2016-04-11 11:56:35 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12618/1/The%20Relationship%20between%20Technological%20Development%20Paths%20and%20the%20Stabilization%20of%20Atmospheric%20Greenhouse%20Gas%20Concentrations%20in%20Global%20Emissions%20Scenarios.pdf 12618 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

The Relationship between Technological Development Paths and the Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in Global Emissions Scenarios.pdf

published 49559 2 132786 document 49559 lightbox.jpg image/png c455f449e01c8c4d169072cd45e1155c MD5 15462 2016-04-11 12:06:49 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12618/2/lightbox.jpg 12618 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/49558 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/49558 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/49558 archive 353 disk0/00/01/26/18 2016-04-11 12:04:51 2021-08-27 17:26:33 2016-04-11 12:04:51 other show 1 Morita T. Nakicenovic N. 395 0000-0001-7176-4604 Robinson J. The Relationship between Technological Development Paths and the Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in Global Emissions Scenarios pub prog_tnt This paper compares technological development paths that determine future mitigation scenarios aimed at stabilizing atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Future social and economic development paths have already been compared in relation to their impact on climate mitigation by Morita, Nakicenovic and Robinson (2000). This paper is an expansion of that earlier comparison. Forty stabilization scenarios are reviewed, and all use as their baseline the new scenarios by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published in the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (Nakicenovic et al, 2000). Several common tendencies and characteristics can be observed across the scenarios. First, the different technological development paths described in the baseline IPCC scenarios require that: CO2 emissions be reduced by different levels; different schedules for the reductions be adopted; and, different technology/policy measures be chosen to stabilize atmospheric CO2 concentrations - even to achieve the same stabilization level. Second, no one single measure is sufficient for the development, adoption and diffusion of mitigation options to achieve stabilization within the accepted time-frame. Third, the level of technology/policy measures needed to achieve stabilization toward the end of the 21st century or beginning of the 22nd century will be greatly affected by the choice of technological development paths over next decades. The paper also identifies some characteristics in technological measures across the different technological development paths to achieve the stabilization targets. 2000 Center for Global Environmental Research. Report CGER–I044–2000 http://www.cger.nies.go.jp/publications/report/i044/I044.pdf 214 public FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/other