Witches, Floods, and Wonder Drugs: Historical Perspectives on Risk Management

1268 12 59109 2 165368 document 59109 RR-81-03.pdf application/pdf 8af13d7e7b58a898b8bc205eae601288 MD5 12329724 2016-06-01 11:24:03 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1268/1/RR-81-03.pdf 1268 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

RR-81-03.pdf

published 59147 2 165417 document 59147 lightbox.jpg image/png 852576f19c8bd910ea9f88493e9166d7 MD5 15962 2016-06-01 11:34:19 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/1268/2/lightbox.jpg 1268 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59109 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59109 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/59109 archive 351 disk0/00/00/12/68 2016-01-15 01:47:22 2021-08-27 17:09:40 2016-01-15 01:47:22 monograph show 3 Clark W.C. AL0572 Witches, Floods, and Wonder Drugs: Historical Perspectives on Risk Management pub iis_rsk iis_mnt iis_met prog_mmt prog_sds This paper reports an investigation that was undertaken to give a philosophical and historical perspective to IIASA's work on decision making in the face of uncertainty in such areas as energy, agriculture, health care, and water resources, and in particular, problems of risk management. While current risk-management methods usually apply advanced concepts of system modeling and statistical inference to societal decision making under uncertainty, it has generally been the case, as this paper points out, that risk-management problems have not revolved around obtaining the correct probabilities. Rather, the problems have important political and procedural elements, and involve how a society collects and employs imperfect and incomplete information. Clark's central point is that the answers to today's societal risk-management problems do not depend solely on the usual techniques of risk assessment; rather, they lie in developing imaginative approaches to risk management that incorporate the social decision processes that must be involved. IIASA's research amply corroborates this point. 1980 published RR-81-003. Reprinted from Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough?, Richard C. Schwing and Walter A. Albers, Jr (eds), Plenum Press, New York, NY, USA, pp. 311-313 [1980]. RP-81-003 Reprinted from Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough?; Richard C. Schwing and Walter A. Albers, Jr (eds), Plenum Press, New York, NY, USA, pp. 311-313 [1980] 10 1815 public research_reprint Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough? IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 311-313 30 TRUE Schwing Richard C. Albers, Jr Walter A. FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book