12711 11 71977 2 199254 document 71977 The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin.pdf application/pdf fa64b180fe201393496ba68df3e282d5 MD5 1923968 2016-10-24 08:20:37 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12711/1/The%20role%20of%20rainfed%20agriculture%20in%20securing%20food%20production%20in%20the%20Nile%20Basin.pdf 12711 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71977 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71977 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71977 archive 2 disk0/00/01/27/11 2016-04-15 08:09:11 2021-08-27 17:26:37 2016-04-15 08:09:11 article show Siderius C. Van Walsum P.E.V. Roest C.W.J. Smit A.A.M.F.R. Hellegers P.J.G.J. Kabat P. 1953 Van Ierland E.C. pub prog_wat prog_dir Nile basin; Water dispute; Rainfed agriculture; Food security; Water allocations A better use of land and water resources will be necessary to meet the increasing demand for food in the Nile basin. Using a hydro-economic model along the storyline of three future political cooperation scenarios, we show that the future of food production in the Basin lies not in the expansion of intensively irrigated areas and the disputed reallocation of water, but in utilizing the vast forgotten potential of rainfed agriculture in the upstream interior, with supplemental irrigation where needed. Our results indicate that rainfed agriculture can cover more than 75% of the needed increase in food production by the year 2025. Many of the most suitable regions for rainfed agriculture in the Nile basin, however, have been destabilized by recent war and civil unrest. Stabilizing those regions and strengthening intra-basin cooperation via food trade seem to be better strategies than unilateral expansion of upstream irrigation, as the latter will reduce hydropower generation and relocate, rather than increase, food production. 2016-07 Elsevier 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.03.007 141 public Environmental Science & Policy 61 14-23 TRUE 1873-6416 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article