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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/56228 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/56228 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/56228 archive 2 disk0/00/01/32/13 2016-05-17 09:23:25 2021-08-27 17:26:59 2016-05-17 09:23:25 article show Wollenberg E. Richards M. Smith P. Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Obersteiner M. 7255 0000-0001-6981-2769 Tubiello F.N. Herold M. Gerber P. Carter S. Reisinger A. van Vuuren D. Dickie A. Neufeldt H. Sander B.O. Wassmann R. Sommer R. Amonette J.E. Falcucci A. Herrero M. Opio C. Roman-Cuesta R. Stehfest E. Westhoek H. Ortiz-Monasterio I. Sapkota T. Rufino M.C. Thornton P.K. Verchot L. West P.C. Soussana J.-F. Baedeker T. Sadler M. Vermeulen S. Campbell B.M. Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target pub prog_esm climate change; mitigation; agriculture; target; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC); integrated assessment modeling; policy More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (Richards et al., 2015a) in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector versus how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e/yr by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation co-benefits deliver only 21 to 40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2°C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2°C limit. 2016-12 published Wiley-Blackwell 10.1111/gcb.13340 119 219 public Global Change Biology 22 12 3859-3864 TRUE 1365-2486 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article