Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/62510 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/62510 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/62510 archive 2 disk0/00/01/32/82 2016-06-06 17:46:12 2021-08-27 17:27:06 2016-06-06 17:46:12 article show Jewell J. 8535 0000-0003-2846-9081 Vinichenko V. McCollum D. 8484 Bauer N. Riahi K. 1696 0000-0001-7193-3498 Aboumahboub T. Fricko O. 2004 0000-0002-6835-9883 Harmsen M. Kober T. Krey V. 8099 0000-0003-0307-3515 Marangoni G. Tavoni M. van Vuuren D.P. van der Zwaan B. Cherp A. Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies pub prog_ene Ensuring energy security and mitigating climate change are key energy policy priorities. The recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group III report emphasized that climate policies can deliver energy security as a co-benefit, in large part through reducing energy imports. Using five state-of-the-art global energy-economy models and eight long-term scenarios, we show that although deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions would reduce energy imports, the reverse is not true: ambitious policies constraining energy imports would have an insignificant impact on climate change. Restricting imports of all fuels would lower twenty-first-century emissions by only 2–15% against the Baseline scenario as compared with a 70% reduction in a 450 stabilization scenario. Restricting only oil imports would have virtually no impact on emissions. The modelled energy independence targets could be achieved at policy costs comparable to those of existing climate pledges but a fraction of the cost of limiting global warming to 2 ∘C. 2016 published 10.1038/nenergy.2016.73 136 203 250 97 166 public Nature Energy 1 e16073 TRUE 2058-7546 Low climate IMpact scenarios and the Implications of required Tight emission control Strategies (LIMITS, FP7 282846) FALSE yes info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/282846/EU/Low climate IMpact scenarios and the Implications of required Tight emission control Strategies/LIMITS info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess