218782document791991-s2.0-S0959378016301224-main.pdfapplication/pdfc9889a2648d2b6b12426ea3b0694add6MD545271552017-09-21 06:46:06https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13755/1/1-s2.0-S0959378016301224-main.pdf