Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden

13841 14 71246 2 197541 document 71246 Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden.pdf application/pdf 31f64f4d32774bdcc8d1ef5a6c185434 MD5 1893864 2016-09-27 14:21:04 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13841/1/Impacts%20of%20global%20climate%20change%20mitigation%20scenarios%20on%20forests%20and%20harvesting%20in%20Sweden.pdf 13841 1 1 application/pdf text en public cc_by

Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden.pdf

accepted 71247 2 197544 document 71247 lightbox.jpg image/png 4f19816ae13d2b362dd71f80c05fb7ad MD5 32629 2016-09-27 14:21:36 https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13841/2/lightbox.jpg 13841 2 2 image/png other Thumbnails conversion from text to thumbnail_lightbox en public

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71246 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71246 http://eprints.org/relation/isIndexCodesVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/71246 archive 353 disk0/00/01/38/41 2016-09-27 14:16:26 2021-08-27 17:27:48 2016-09-27 14:16:26 article show Nordström E.-M. 8653 Forsell N. 1999 Lundström A. Korosuo A. 2056 Bergh J. Havlik P. 1868 0000-0001-5551-5085 Kraxner F. 7904 Frank S. 1944 0000-0001-5702-8547 Fricko O. 2004 0000-0002-6835-9883 Lundmark T. Nordin A. Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden pub prog_ene prog_esm orest impact analysis, forest product demand, scenario analysis, Swedish National Forest Inventory (NFI), wood supply potential Under climate change, the importance of biomass resources is likely to increase and new approaches are needed to analyze future material and energy use of biomass globally and locally. Using Sweden as an example, we present an approach that combines global and national land-use and forest models to analyze impacts of climate change mitigation ambitions on forest management and harvesting in a specific country. National forest impact analyses in Sweden have traditionally focused on supply potential with little reference to international market developments. In this study, we use the global greenhouse gas concentration scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change to estimate global biomass demand and assess potential implications on harvesting and biodiversity in Sweden. The results show that the short-term demand for wood is close to the full harvesting potential in Sweden in all scenarios. Under high bioenergy demand, harvest levels are projected to stay high over a longer time and particularly impact the harvest levels of pulpwood. The area of old forest in the managed landscape may decrease. This study highlights the importance of global scenarios when discussing national-level analysis and pinpoints trade-offs that policy making in Sweden may need to tackle in the near future. 2016-08-01 published NRC Research Press doi:10.1139/cjfr-2016-0122 218 93 162 119 165 94 97 public Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46 12 1427-1438 TRUE 0045-5067 FALSE no info:eu-repo/semantics/article