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WP-80-075.pdf

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http://eprints.org/relation/isVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1439 http://eprints.org/relation/isVolatileVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1439 http://eprints.org/relation/isCoversheetVersionOf https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/document/1439 archive 351 disk0/00/00/13/94 2016-01-15 01:48:17 2021-08-27 17:09:54 2016-01-15 01:48:17 monograph show 2 Ausubel J.H. AL0460 pub iis_ene iis_env prog_ren A great deal of research is currently going into simulating the effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide on climate. This research considers the direct climatic effects of steadily rising atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and usually assumes a rate of carbon dioxide increase from burning of fossil fuels which will lead to a doubling of airborne concentrations by some time in the first half of the twenty-first century. Such a rate is consistent with observations of carbon dioxide increases in the recent past, but it also depends crucially on implicit assumptions about the future functioning of the world economy. But, rather than make assumptions about the world economy, one can try to work backward from the carbon dioxide demanded for a mid-twenty-first century climatic change toward the physical carbon resources. Where in the earth will the carbon come from? How is it distributed with respect to present national and regional boundaries? Can this tell us something about the likelihood of realization of a CO2 problem? About the possibilities for its control? And, when combined with estimates of past contribution by geopolitical entities, does it tell us anything about responsibility for a CO2-induced climatic change? 1980-04 published WP-80-075 WP-80-075 1698 public working_paper IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria 54 FALSE info:eu-repo/semantics/book