234987document83629Cuaresma_et_al-2016-Journal_of_Forecasting.pdfapplication/pdf0d9151718c88e5101b145728faaf29ebMD58794222018-04-05 09:52:47https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15190/1/Cuaresma_et_al-2016-Journal_of_Forecasting.pdf